1 00:00:06,230 --> 00:00:03,510 climate scientists at nasa's goddard 2 00:00:08,150 --> 00:00:06,240 institute of space studies or gis just 3 00:00:10,950 --> 00:00:08,160 released a new analysis of global 4 00:00:13,270 --> 00:00:10,960 average temperatures showing that 2009 5 00:00:14,470 --> 00:00:13,280 was tied as the second warmest year ever 6 00:00:15,910 --> 00:00:14,480 recorded 7 00:00:19,189 --> 00:00:15,920 and looking just at the southern 8 00:00:21,269 --> 00:00:19,199 hemisphere 2009 even broke the record as 9 00:00:22,550 --> 00:00:21,279 the warmest year ever in this half of 10 00:00:25,589 --> 00:00:22,560 the world 11 00:00:27,830 --> 00:00:25,599 in fact 2009 was virtually tied with 12 00:00:32,389 --> 00:00:27,840 five other recent years in its position 13 00:00:37,190 --> 00:00:32,399 as second warmest on record 1998 2002 14 00:00:38,869 --> 00:00:37,200 2003 2006 and 2007 and it was only a 15 00:00:41,430 --> 00:00:38,879 fraction of a percent cooler than the 16 00:00:43,270 --> 00:00:41,440 warmest year 2005. 17 00:00:45,270 --> 00:00:43,280 yet when looking at global temperatures 18 00:00:47,190 --> 00:00:45,280 over a longer time frame these 19 00:00:49,830 --> 00:00:47,200 scientists found a persistent warming 20 00:00:51,430 --> 00:00:49,840 trend over the past three decades with 21 00:00:53,189 --> 00:00:51,440 the average global temperature 22 00:00:55,990 --> 00:00:53,199 increasing by roughly a third of a 23 00:00:59,670 --> 00:00:56,000 degree fahrenheit per decade this past 24 00:01:00,470 --> 00:00:59,680 decade from 2000 to 2009 was the warmest 25 00:01:02,310 --> 00:01:00,480 yet 26 00:01:04,869 --> 00:01:02,320 and when looking back all the way to 27 00:01:07,510 --> 00:01:04,879 1880 the year when precise temperature 28 00:01:09,429 --> 00:01:07,520 record keeping began scientists observed 29 00:01:11,270 --> 00:01:09,439 about a one and a half degree fahrenheit 30 00:01:13,590 --> 00:01:11,280 rise in global temperature 31 00:01:16,070 --> 00:01:13,600 there are already beginning to be 32 00:01:17,990 --> 00:01:16,080 effects of one or two degrees warming 33 00:01:19,830 --> 00:01:18,000 and if we get 34 00:01:21,429 --> 00:01:19,840 five or ten degrees warming 35 00:01:23,030 --> 00:01:21,439 several decades downstream there will be 36 00:01:25,109 --> 00:01:23,040 huge effects 37 00:01:27,350 --> 00:01:25,119 gis scientists came to these results 38 00:01:28,390 --> 00:01:27,360 after analyzing information from three 39 00:01:30,230 --> 00:01:28,400 sources 40 00:01:32,390 --> 00:01:30,240 data from more than a thousand weather 41 00:01:34,630 --> 00:01:32,400 stations around the globe satellite 42 00:01:36,390 --> 00:01:34,640 observations of sea surface temperature 43 00:01:37,590 --> 00:01:36,400 and measurements from antarctic research 44 00:01:39,350 --> 00:01:37,600 stations 45 00:01:40,630 --> 00:01:39,360 so what's the cause of this long-term 46 00:01:42,230 --> 00:01:40,640 warming trend 47 00:01:44,149 --> 00:01:42,240 while there are several natural 48 00:01:46,630 --> 00:01:44,159 processes that can cause subtle climate 49 00:01:49,109 --> 00:01:46,640 warming or cooling like variations in 50 00:01:51,830 --> 00:01:49,119 solar activity fluctuations in ocean 51 00:01:53,429 --> 00:01:51,840 currents and volcanic eruptions climate 52 00:01:55,590 --> 00:01:53,439 scientists believe that the rising 53 00:01:57,749 --> 00:01:55,600 levels of carbon dioxide and other 54 00:01:59,510 --> 00:01:57,759 greenhouse gases are the dominant factor 55 00:02:02,389 --> 00:01:59,520 driving the rise 56 00:02:03,910 --> 00:02:02,399 if we want to limit climate change and 57 00:02:05,270 --> 00:02:03,920 keep it 58 00:02:07,910 --> 00:02:05,280 under 59 00:02:09,430 --> 00:02:07,920 an additional 1 degree celsius or two 60 00:02:11,910 --> 00:02:09,440 degrees fahrenheit 61 00:02:13,750 --> 00:02:11,920 we would need to begin to decrease the 62 00:02:15,430 --> 00:02:13,760 co2 emissions 63 00:02:17,430 --> 00:02:15,440 gradually 64 00:02:19,350 --> 00:02:17,440 so that by the end of the century co2 65 00:02:21,910 --> 00:02:19,360 stopped increasing 66 00:02:24,229 --> 00:02:21,920 so while 2009's temperature may not have 67 00:02:26,309 --> 00:02:24,239 been the global record-breaker it is in 68 00:02:28,229 --> 00:02:26,319 line with the long-term trend telling